Nufflenomics: The Master Chef
I played a practice tournament game this week and my Master Chef stole zero re-rolls from my opponent for the entire game. Obviously disappointed to have wasted 100k on this, I thought I’d take a look into the economics of hiring a Master Chef. The Economics Taking a chef is an almost automatic part of any halfling team but it is also a gamble. There are a few things that I want to talk about when considering the economical effect of a chef. Let’s start however by dissecting the basics. At the start of each half, after the kick has deviated, you get to roll 3 D6 and for each one with a value of 4 or more, you receive one of your opponent’s re-rolls. This means that each dice has a 50:50 chance of success. If we look at each roll of 3 dice, it then works out to be: Re-rolls stolen Probability 0 12.5% 1 37.5% 2 37.5% 3 12.5% This applies each half, so in total for th...